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It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward With Goldcard Smart Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300349)

ゴールドカード・スマート・グループ社(SZSE:300349)とのリスク対リワードの物語です。

Simply Wall St ·  09/27 20:24

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.5x Goldcard Smart Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300349) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 29x and even P/E's higher than 54x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Goldcard Smart Group has been doing quite well of late. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

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SZSE:300349 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 28th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Goldcard Smart Group.

Is There Any Growth For Goldcard Smart Group?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Goldcard Smart Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 18% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 222% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 21% per year over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 19% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Goldcard Smart Group's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From Goldcard Smart Group's P/E?

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Goldcard Smart Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

Having said that, be aware Goldcard Smart Group is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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