China Railway Prefabricated Construction (SZSE:300374) Delivers Shareholders Decent 8.9% CAGR Over 5 Years, Surging 15% in the Last Week Alone
China Railway Prefabricated Construction (SZSE:300374) Delivers Shareholders Decent 8.9% CAGR Over 5 Years, Surging 15% in the Last Week Alone
Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. For example, long term China Railway Prefabricated Construction Co., Ltd (SZSE:300374) shareholders have enjoyed a 53% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 2.8% (not including dividends).
一般來說,積極挑選股票的目的是找到那些提供高於市場平均回報的公司。事實上,如果以合適的價格購買優質企業,您可以獲得可觀的收益。例如,長揸中鐵裝配股份有限公司(SZSE:300374)的股東在過去五年中享受到了53%的股價上漲,遠遠超過了大約2.8%的市場回報(不包括分紅派息)。
On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.
在穩定的七天表現之後,讓我們看看公司的基本面對長期股東回報的影響。
Because China Railway Prefabricated Construction made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.
由於中鐵裝配在過去十二個月中虧損,我們認爲市場可能更關注營業收入和營收增長,至少目前是這樣。當一家公司沒有盈利時,我們通常希望看到良好的營收增長。正如您可以想象的,快速的營收增長,如果能夠持續,通常會導致快速的利潤增長。
For the last half decade, China Railway Prefabricated Construction can boast revenue growth at a rate of 11% per year. That's a fairly respectable growth rate. Revenue has been growing at a reasonable clip, so it's debatable whether the share price growth of 9% full reflects the underlying business growth. If revenue growth can maintain for long enough, it's likely profits will flow. Lack of earnings means you have to project further into the future justify the valuation on the basis of future free cash flow.
在過去的半個十年裏,中鐵裝配每年以11%的速度實現營收增長。這是相當可觀的增長率。營收一直以一個合理的速度增長,因此值得商榷的是股價增長9%是否完全反映了業務增長。如果營收增長能夠持續足夠長的時間,利潤很可能會到來。缺乏收益意味着您必須進一步預測未來以未來自由現金流爲基礎來證明估值。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下圖顯示了收益和營收隨時間變化的情況(如果你點擊圖像,可以看到更多細節):
Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
資產負債表強度至關重要。查看我們關於其財務狀況如何隨時間變化的免費報告可能很值得一看。
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
Although it hurts that China Railway Prefabricated Construction returned a loss of 6.7% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 10%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 9% for each year. In the best case scenario the last year is just a temporary blip on the journey to a brighter future. You could get a better understanding of China Railway Prefabricated Construction's growth by checking out this more detailed historical graph of earnings, revenue and cash flow.
儘管中鐵裝配在過去十二個月中虧損6.7%,但整體市場實際上表現更差,虧損10%。 當然,長期回報更爲重要,令人高興的是,在過去五年中,該股票每年的回報率爲9%。 在最好的情況下,去年只是通往更光明未來的旅程中的一個暫時震盪。 您可以通過查看更詳細的歷史收益、營業收入和現金流圖表來更好地了解中鐵裝配的增長。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果您願意查看另一家公司(具有潛在的更好財務狀況),請不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,證明它們可以增長收益。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。