TRS Information Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300229) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 28% in the last twelve months.
After such a large jump in price, TRS Information Technology may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 15.1x, since almost half of all companies in the Software industry in China have P/S ratios under 4.9x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does TRS Information Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?
TRS Information Technology could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think TRS Information Technology's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is TRS Information Technology's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as TRS Information Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 21%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 46% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 28% during the coming year according to the two analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 26% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that TRS Information Technology's P/S is higher than its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
TRS Information Technology's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Analysts are forecasting TRS Information Technology's revenues to only grow on par with the rest of the industry, which has lead to the high P/S ratio being unexpected. When we see revenue growth that just matches the industry, we don't expect elevates P/S figures to remain inflated for the long-term. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with TRS Information Technology, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on TRS Information Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.