Despite Powerwin Tech Group Limited's (HKG:2405) recent earnings report having lackluster headline numbers, the market responded positively. Sometimes, shareholders are willing to ignore soft numbers with the hope that they will improve, but our analysis suggests this is unlikely for Powerwin Tech Group.
Zooming In On Powerwin Tech Group's Earnings
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
Powerwin Tech Group has an accrual ratio of 0.82 for the year to June 2024. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of US$57m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of US$5.50m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of US$57m, this year, indicates high risk.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Powerwin Tech Group.
Our Take On Powerwin Tech Group's Profit Performance
As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Powerwin Tech Group didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Powerwin Tech Group's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Powerwin Tech Group as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for Powerwin Tech Group (2 are significant!) that we believe deserve your full attention.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Powerwin Tech Group's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.