Shimao Services Holdings Limited (HKG:873) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 34% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 31% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Shimao Services Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Real Estate industry is similar at about 0.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does Shimao Services Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Shimao Services Holdings' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Shimao Services Holdings.
Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shimao Services Holdings?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Shimao Services Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 3.9%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 12% in total. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 0.9% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 4.6% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
In light of this, it's curious that Shimao Services Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Shimao Services Holdings appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Given that Shimao Services Holdings' revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Shimao Services Holdings with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If you're unsure about the strength of Shimao Services Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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