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There's Reason For Concern Over Hengfeng Information Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300605) Massive 25% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 28 09:46

The Hengfeng Information Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300605) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 25%. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 21% over that time.

Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in China's IT industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.7x, you may consider Hengfeng Information Technology as a stock probably not worth researching with its 5.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

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SZSE:300605 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 28th 2024

How Has Hengfeng Information Technology Performed Recently?

For instance, Hengfeng Information Technology's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hengfeng Information Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hengfeng Information Technology?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Hengfeng Information Technology's to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 36%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 36% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 20% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Hengfeng Information Technology is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Hengfeng Information Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?

Hengfeng Information Technology shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Hengfeng Information Technology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Hengfeng Information Technology.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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