share_log

Is Hexcel (NYSE:HXL) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Hexcel (NYSE:HXL) Using Too Much Debt?

赫氏(纽交所:HXL)是否使用了过多的债务?
Simply Wall St ·  09/28 08:12

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Hexcel Corporation (NYSE:HXL) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

传奇基金经理李录(得到查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不在于价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。”因此,聪明人似乎知道,债务(通常涉及破产)是评估公司风险时很重要的因素。我们注意到赫氏公司(纽交所:HXL)的资产负债表上确实存在债务。但股东们应该担心它债务的使用吗?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果一个企业无法偿还债权人,那么它就处于他们的掌握之中。资本主义的一部分就是'创造性破坏'的过程,即失败的企业被无情地由他们的银行家清算。虽然这种情况并不常见,但我们经常看到负债累累的公司因为贷款人强迫他们以困境价位筹集资本而永久稀释股东。当然,债务的好处是,它通常代表了廉价资本,尤其是当它取代公司具有高回报能力的再投资时的稀释。当我们考虑一家公司对债务的使用时,我们首先看现金和债务的结合。

What Is Hexcel's Net Debt?

赫氏的净债务是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Hexcel had US$793.3m in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$81.5m, its net debt is less, at about US$711.8m.

下面的图表显示,赫氏在2024年6月拥有79330万美元的债务;与前一年差不多。然而,因为它有8150万美元的现金储备,其净债务较少,大约为71180万美元。

big
NYSE:HXL Debt to Equity History September 28th 2024
纽交所:HXL 债务与权益历史2024年9月28日

How Healthy Is Hexcel's Balance Sheet?

赫氏的资产负债表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Hexcel had liabilities of US$293.7m due within a year, and liabilities of US$962.7m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$81.5m as well as receivables valued at US$317.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$857.3m.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,赫氏有短期到期的负债为2.937亿美元,以及此后到期的负债为9.627亿美元。 抵消这些义务的是,它有8.15亿美元的现金以及价值3.176亿美元的应收款项,在12个月内到期。 因此,其负债比其现金和(短期)应收款项的总和多8.573亿美元。

Since publicly traded Hexcel shares are worth a total of US$5.03b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

因为公开交易的赫氏股份总价值为503亿美元,看起来这种水平的负债不太可能构成重大威胁。 但是,我们认为值得关注其资产负债表的实力,因为它可能会随时间改变。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我们通过查看净债务与利息、税、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)之比以及计算其利息支出由收益前利息和税(EBIT)覆盖的程度来度量一家公司的债务负载相对于其收益能力的程度。此方法的优点在于我们同时考虑了债务的绝对量(以净债务为EBITDA)以及与该债务相关的实际利息支出(以其利息覆盖倍数计算)。

Hexcel's net debt of 2.1 times EBITDA suggests graceful use of debt. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 7.2 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. We saw Hexcel grow its EBIT by 2.0% in the last twelve months. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hexcel's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

赫氏的净债务为EBITDA的2.1倍,表明其对债务的优雅使用。 令人向往的利息覆盖率(EBIt为利息费用的7.2倍)确实没有消除这种印象。 我们看到赫氏在过去12个月中将其EBIt增长了2.0%。 尽管远非令人难以置信,但在偿还债务方面是一件好事。 毫无疑问,我们最多从资产负债表中了解债务情况。 但是,未来的收入,胜过任何事情,将决定赫氏未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。 因此,如果您想知道专业人士的看法,您可能会发现分析师盈利预测的这份免费报告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Hexcel recorded free cash flow worth 57% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最后,尽管税务部门可能热爱会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。 因此,我们明显需要查看EBIt是否导致相应的自由现金流。 在最近的三年中,赫氏录得的自由现金流价值为其EBIt的57%,这在正常范围之内,考虑到自由现金流不包括利息和税。 这种自由现金流使公司有能力在适当时支付债务。

Our View

我们的观点

Both Hexcel's ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow and its interest cover gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. Having said that, its net debt to EBITDA somewhat sensitizes us to potential future risks to the balance sheet. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Hexcel is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Hexcel you should be aware of.

赫氏有能力将EBIt转换为自由现金流,以及其利息保障使我们相信它有能力偿还债务。话虽如此,其净债务与EBITDA之比使我们对资产负债表潜在未来风险更为敏感。综合考虑以上所有因素,我们认为赫氏在处理债务方面表现相当不错。但需要警惕的是:我们认为债务水平高到足以证明需要持续监控。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是要重点关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表之外的风险。例如:我们已经发现有2个赫氏的警示信号,您应该注意。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发