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Porch Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PRCH) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 28%

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 28 08:39

Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. The annual gain comes to 109% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Even after such a large jump in price, Porch Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.7x and even P/S above 11x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

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NasdaqCM:PRCH Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 28th 2024

How Has Porch Group Performed Recently?

Porch Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Porch Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Porch Group?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Porch Group would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 44% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 298% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 2.6% as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 25% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Porch Group's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does Porch Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

Shares in Porch Group have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Porch Group maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Having said that, be aware Porch Group is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are a bit concerning.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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