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Improved Earnings Required Before China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601601) Stock's 29% Jump Looks Justified

china pacific insurance(集団)株式会社(SHSE:601601)株の29%の上昇は正当化される前に利益改善が必要です

Simply Wall St ·  09/28 20:28

The China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601601) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 29%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 25% in the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, China Pacific Insurance (Group) may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.1x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 30x and even P/E's higher than 57x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for China Pacific Insurance (Group) as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

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SHSE:601601 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 29th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on China Pacific Insurance (Group) will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is China Pacific Insurance (Group)'s Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, China Pacific Insurance (Group) would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 4.4%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 23% overall rise in EPS. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 6.4% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 19% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why China Pacific Insurance (Group) is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

China Pacific Insurance (Group)'s recent share price jump still sees its P/E sitting firmly flat on the ground. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that China Pacific Insurance (Group) maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - China Pacific Insurance (Group) has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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