Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Limited (HKG:1396) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 36% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 31% in the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Real Estate industry in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 0.7x and even P/S above 3x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
What Does Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 20%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 51% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 5.0% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we are not surprised that Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
What Does Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings' P/S close to the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings (3 are potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.
If you're unsure about the strength of Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
