Those holding Moody Technology Holdings Limited (HKG:1400) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 36% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 95% share price drop in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Moody Technology Holdings is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.6x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Luxury industry have P/S ratios below 0.6x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

How Moody Technology Holdings Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Moody Technology Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Moody Technology Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 24%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 33% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 12% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Moody Technology Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Moody Technology Holdings' P/S?

Moody Technology Holdings shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Moody Technology Holdings revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Moody Technology Holdings has 6 warning signs (and 4 which are concerning) we think you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Moody Technology Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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