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We Think Shenzhen Hemei GroupLTD (SZSE:002356) Can Easily Afford To Drive Business Growth

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 30, 2024 12:35

Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

So, the natural question for Shenzhen Hemei GroupLTD (SZSE:002356) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

Does Shenzhen Hemei GroupLTD Have A Long Cash Runway?

A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. When Shenzhen Hemei GroupLTD last reported its June 2024 balance sheet in August 2024, it had zero debt and cash worth CN¥533m. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through CN¥54m. That means it had a cash runway of about 9.8 years as of June 2024. While this is only one measure of its cash burn situation, it certainly gives us the impression that holders have nothing to worry about. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

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SZSE:002356 Debt to Equity History September 30th 2024

Is Shenzhen Hemei GroupLTD's Revenue Growing?

Given that Shenzhen Hemei GroupLTD actually had positive free cash flow last year, before burning cash this year, we'll focus on its operating revenue to get a measure of the business trajectory. Unfortunately, the last year has been a disappointment, with operating revenue dropping 14% during the period. In reality, this article only makes a short study of the company's growth data. You can take a look at how Shenzhen Hemei GroupLTD has developed its business over time by checking this visualization of its revenue and earnings history.

How Easily Can Shenzhen Hemei GroupLTD Raise Cash?

Given its problematic fall in revenue, Shenzhen Hemei GroupLTD shareholders should consider how the company could fund its growth, if it turns out it needs more cash. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Since it has a market capitalisation of CN¥4.0b, Shenzhen Hemei GroupLTD's CN¥54m in cash burn equates to about 1.4% of its market value. So it could almost certainly just borrow a little to fund another year's growth, or else easily raise the cash by issuing a few shares.

How Risky Is Shenzhen Hemei GroupLTD's Cash Burn Situation?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Shenzhen Hemei GroupLTD's cash burn. For example, we think its cash runway suggests that the company is on a good path. While its falling revenue wasn't great, the other factors mentioned in this article more than make up for weakness on that measure. After taking into account the various metrics mentioned in this report, we're pretty comfortable with how the company is spending its cash, as it seems on track to meet its needs over the medium term. For us, it's always important to consider risks around cash burn rates. But investors should look at a whole range of factors when researching a new stock. For example, it could be interesting to see how much the Shenzhen Hemei GroupLTD CEO receives in total remuneration.

Of course Shenzhen Hemei GroupLTD may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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