The Five-year Loss for Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane (SZSE:002523) Shareholders Likely Driven by Its Shrinking Earnings
The Five-year Loss for Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane (SZSE:002523) Shareholders Likely Driven by Its Shrinking Earnings
Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002523) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 17% in the last quarter. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. In fact, the share price is down 20%, which falls well short of the return you could get by buying an index fund.
湖南株洲天橋起重股份有限公司(SZSE:002523)的股東應該很高興看到上個季度股價上漲了17%。但在過去的五年中,該股表現不佳,事實上,股價下跌了20%,遠遠低於購買指數基金的回報。
While the stock has risen 11% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.
雖然該股股價過去一週上漲了11%,但長期持股人仍處於虧損狀態,讓我們看看基本面能告訴我們什麼。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
儘管市場是一個強大的定價機制,股價不僅反映了基本業務表現,還反映了投資者的情緒。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價變化,並隨時間推移這樣做,我們可以了解股東對公司的態度如何隨時間變化。
During the five years over which the share price declined, Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 11% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 4% compound annual share price fall. So the market may previously have expected a drop, or else it expects the situation will improve. The high P/E ratio of 55.48 suggests that shareholders believe earnings will grow in the years ahead.
在股價下跌的五年中,株洲天橋起重的每股收益(EPS)每年下降11%。這種EPS的下降比每年4%的複合年股價下跌更糟糕。因此,市場可能曾預期會出現下降,或者市場預期情況會有所改善。55.48的高市盈率表明股東相信未來幾年收益將增長。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
下面可以看到每股收益隨時間的變化情況(通過點擊圖像來查看確切數值)。
Dive deeper into Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
通過查看天橋起重的收入、營業收入和現金流交互式圖表,更深入地了解天橋起重的關鍵指標。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane the TSR over the last 5 years was -17%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是考慮總股東回報率(TSR)和股價回報之間的差異。TSR是一種回報計算,考慮到現金分紅的價值(假設任何分紅都已重新投資)以及任何折現資本增發和分拆的計算價值。因此,對於支付慷慨分紅的公司,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。我們注意到,對於天橋起重,過去5年的TSR爲-17%,這比上述的股價回報更好。這主要是由於其分紅支付造成的!
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
We regret to report that Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane shareholders are down 12% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 6.0%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 3% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.
我們很遺憾地報告說,天橋起重的股東今年下跌了12%(包括分紅在內)。不幸的是,這比更廣泛的市場下跌6.0%還糟糕。話雖如此,在一個下跌的市場中,一些股票被超賣是不可避免的。關鍵在於保持關注基本面的發展情況。遺憾的是,去年的表現爲連續糟糕的局面畫上了句號,股東在過去五年中每年面臨着總損失3%。我們意識到,羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說投資者應該「在街上有人流血時買進」,但我們警告投資者首先要確定他們正在購買的是一家高質量的業務。我發現長期觀察股價作爲業務表現的替代品非常有趣。但爲了真正獲得洞察,我們還需要考慮其他信息。比如風險。每家公司都有風險,我們發現天橋起重存在2個警示信號(其中1個對我們來說不太好!),您應該了解。
But note: Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但請注意:天橋起重可能並非最佳股票。因此,請查看這份免費的有趣公司列表,這些公司過去有盈利增長(並有進一步增長預測)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。