The Five-year Loss for Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane (SZSE:002523) Shareholders Likely Driven by Its Shrinking Earnings
The Five-year Loss for Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane (SZSE:002523) Shareholders Likely Driven by Its Shrinking Earnings
Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002523) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 17% in the last quarter. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. In fact, the share price is down 20%, which falls well short of the return you could get by buying an index fund.
湖南株洲天桥起重股份有限公司(SZSE:002523)的股东应该很高兴看到上个季度股价上涨了17%。但在过去的五年中,该股表现不佳,事实上,股价下跌了20%,远远低于购买指数基金的回报。
While the stock has risen 11% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.
虽然该股股价过去一周上涨了11%,但长期持股人仍处于亏损状态,让我们看看基本面能告诉我们什么。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
尽管市场是一个强大的定价机制,股价不仅反映了基本业务表现,还反映了投资者的情绪。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价变化,并随时间推移这样做,我们可以了解股东对公司的态度如何随时间变化。
During the five years over which the share price declined, Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 11% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 4% compound annual share price fall. So the market may previously have expected a drop, or else it expects the situation will improve. The high P/E ratio of 55.48 suggests that shareholders believe earnings will grow in the years ahead.
在股价下跌的五年中,株洲天桥起重的每股收益(EPS)每年下降11%。这种EPS的下降比每年4%的复合年股价下跌更糟糕。因此,市场可能曾预期会出现下降,或者市场预期情况会有所改善。55.48的高市盈率表明股东相信未来几年收益将增长。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
下面可以看到每股收益随时间的变化情况(通过点击图像来查看确切数值)。
Dive deeper into Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
通过查看天桥起重的收入、营业收入和现金流交互式图表,更深入地了解天桥起重的关键指标。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane the TSR over the last 5 years was -17%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是考虑总股东回报率(TSR)和股价回报之间的差异。TSR是一种回报计算,考虑到现金分红的价值(假设任何分红都已重新投资)以及任何折现资本增发和分拆的计算价值。因此,对于支付慷慨分红的公司,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。我们注意到,对于天桥起重,过去5年的TSR为-17%,这比上述的股价回报更好。这主要是由于其分红支付造成的!
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
We regret to report that Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane shareholders are down 12% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 6.0%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 3% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.
我们很遗憾地报告说,天桥起重的股东今年下跌了12%(包括分红在内)。不幸的是,这比更广泛的市场下跌6.0%还糟糕。话虽如此,在一个下跌的市场中,一些股票被超卖是不可避免的。关键在于保持关注基本面的发展情况。遗憾的是,去年的表现为连续糟糕的局面画上了句号,股东在过去五年中每年面临着总损失3%。我们意识到,罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说投资者应该“在街上有人流血时买进”,但我们警告投资者首先要确定他们正在购买的是一家高质量的业务。我发现长期观察股价作为业务表现的替代品非常有趣。但为了真正获得洞察,我们还需要考虑其他信息。比如风险。每家公司都有风险,我们发现天桥起重存在2个警示信号(其中1个对我们来说不太好!),您应该了解。
But note: Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但请注意:天桥起重可能并非最佳股票。因此,请查看这份免费的有趣公司列表,这些公司过去有盈利增长(并有进一步增长预测)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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