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Is Guangdong Tloong Technology GroupLtd (SZSE:300063) A Risky Investment?

広東Tloongテクノロジーグループ株式会社(SZSE:300063)はリスクのある投資ですか?

Simply Wall St ·  09/30 01:38

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Guangdong Tloong Technology Group Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300063) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

What Is Guangdong Tloong Technology GroupLtd's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Guangdong Tloong Technology GroupLtd had CN¥723.5m of debt in June 2024, down from CN¥809.1m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥107.4m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥616.1m.

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SZSE:300063 Debt to Equity History September 30th 2024

A Look At Guangdong Tloong Technology GroupLtd's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Guangdong Tloong Technology GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.10b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥201.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥107.4m as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.92b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥727.6m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

It's good to see that Guangdong Tloong Technology GroupLtd has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Guangdong Tloong Technology GroupLtd has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.7 which suggests a meaningful debt load. However, its interest coverage of 6.7 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Importantly, Guangdong Tloong Technology GroupLtd's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 30% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Guangdong Tloong Technology GroupLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Guangdong Tloong Technology GroupLtd generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 89% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

Guangdong Tloong Technology GroupLtd's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, as was its net debt to EBITDA. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was significantly redeeming. Considering this range of data points, we think Guangdong Tloong Technology GroupLtd is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Guangdong Tloong Technology GroupLtd you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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