Guilin Seamild Foods' (SZSE:002956) Earnings Trajectory Could Turn Positive as the Stock Hikes 15% This Past Week
Guilin Seamild Foods' (SZSE:002956) Earnings Trajectory Could Turn Positive as the Stock Hikes 15% This Past Week
This week we saw the Guilin Seamild Foods Co., Ltd (SZSE:002956) share price climb by 15%. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. After all, the share price is down 36% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.
本週,我們看到了西麥食品股份有限公司(SZSE:002956)股價上漲了15%。 但在過去的半個多十年裏,該股表現不佳。 畢竟,在那段時間裏,股價下跌了36%,遠遠落後於市場。
While the stock has risen 15% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.
儘管股票上漲了15%,但遠期股東仍處於虧損狀態,讓我們看看基本面能夠告訴我們什麼。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
雖然市場是一個強大的定價機制,但股價反映的不僅僅是企業的基本業績,還有投資者的情緒。一個不完美但簡單的方式來考慮公司市場意識的變化是比較每股收益(EPS)的變化和股價的變化。
Looking back five years, both Guilin Seamild Foods' share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 9.3% per year. This change in EPS is reasonably close to the 8% average annual decrease in the share price. This implies that the market has had a fairly steady view of the stock. So it's fair to say the share price has been responding to changes in EPS.
回顧過去五年,西麥食品的股價和每股收益均下降;後者的年均下降率爲9.3%。 每股收益的變化與股價年均下跌8%的平均水平相當接近。 這意味着市場對該股持有相當穩定的看法。 因此可以說股價一直在對每股收益的變化做出反應。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下圖顯示了EPS隨時間變化的情況(點擊圖像以顯示確切值)。
This free interactive report on Guilin Seamild Foods' earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
作爲免費互動報告,關於西麥食品的盈利、營業收入和現金流,如果你想進一步研究這支股票,這是一個很好的起點。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Guilin Seamild Foods the TSR over the last 5 years was -30%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
投資者除了衡量股價回報外,還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。 TSR將任何拆分或折價增資的價值,以及任何分紅納入計算,基於分紅再投資的假設。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。我們注意到,西麥食品過去5年的TSR爲-30%,比上述股價回報要好。這在很大程度上是其分紅支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
While the broader market lost about 6.0% in the twelve months, Guilin Seamild Foods shareholders did even worse, losing 12% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 5% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Guilin Seamild Foods (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
雖然整個市場在過去12個月損失約6.0%,但西麥食品的股東表現得更糟糕,損失了12%(即使包括分紅)。話雖如此,在一個下跌的市場中,一些股票被過度拋售是不可避免的。關鍵是要關注基本面的發展。 不幸的是,去年的表現可能表明存在未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去半個十年的年化虧損5%還要糟糕。 一般來說,長期股價疲軟可能是一個不好的跡象,儘管逆向投資者可能希望研究這支股票,期待逆轉。 雖然值得考慮市場條件對股價的影響,但有其他更重要的因素。 例如,我們發現了3條關於西麥食品的警示信號(1條令人關注!),在投資這裏之前,你應該注意這些。
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
如果您像我一樣,就不會希望錯過這份免費的內部人士正在購買的低估小市值股票列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。