LiJiang YuLong Tourism Co., LTD.'s (SZSE:002033) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.8x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 30x and even P/E's above 58x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, LiJiang YuLong Tourism has been doing quite well of late. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
SZSE:002033 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 30th 2024 If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on LiJiang YuLong Tourism.
How Is LiJiang YuLong Tourism's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, LiJiang YuLong Tourism would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 23% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 109% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 12% per annum during the coming three years according to the three analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 19% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we can see why LiJiang YuLong Tourism is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of LiJiang YuLong Tourism's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for LiJiang YuLong Tourism you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than LiJiang YuLong Tourism. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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