Rockontrol Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688051) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 38% over that time.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Rockontrol Technology Group's P/S ratio of 4.3x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the IT industry in China is also close to 3.8x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
What Does Rockontrol Technology Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Rockontrol Technology Group has been doing very well. The P/S is probably moderate because investors think this strong revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Rockontrol Technology Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Rockontrol Technology Group?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Rockontrol Technology Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 42%. Still, revenue has fallen 47% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 20% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Rockontrol Technology Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Rockontrol Technology Group's P/S is back within range of the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
The fact that Rockontrol Technology Group currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Rockontrol Technology Group (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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