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Zhongfu Straits (Pingtan) Development Company Limited's (SZSE:000592) Shares Climb 32% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 30 18:06

The Zhongfu Straits (Pingtan) Development Company Limited (SZSE:000592) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 32%. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 23% in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Zhongfu Straits (Pingtan) Development is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2.3x, considering almost half the companies in China's Forestry industry have P/S ratios below 1.5x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

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SZSE:000592 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 30th 2024

How Zhongfu Straits (Pingtan) Development Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Zhongfu Straits (Pingtan) Development has been doing very well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to outperform the wider market, which has seemingly got people interested in the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Zhongfu Straits (Pingtan) Development's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Zhongfu Straits (Pingtan) Development would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 33% last year. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 13% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it concerning that Zhongfu Straits (Pingtan) Development is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Zhongfu Straits (Pingtan) Development's P/S?

The large bounce in Zhongfu Straits (Pingtan) Development's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

The fact that Zhongfu Straits (Pingtan) Development currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Zhongfu Straits (Pingtan) Development that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Zhongfu Straits (Pingtan) Development's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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