Shaanxi Baoguang Vacuum Electric Device Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600379) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 26% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 4.9% isn't as attractive.
Following the firm bounce in price, Shaanxi Baoguang Vacuum Electric Device's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 39.6x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 29x and even P/E's below 18x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Shaanxi Baoguang Vacuum Electric Device certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Shaanxi Baoguang Vacuum Electric Device's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
Shaanxi Baoguang Vacuum Electric Device's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 28% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 61% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 15% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 19% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's alarming that Shaanxi Baoguang Vacuum Electric Device's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From Shaanxi Baoguang Vacuum Electric Device's P/E?
The large bounce in Shaanxi Baoguang Vacuum Electric Device's shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Shaanxi Baoguang Vacuum Electric Device's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Shaanxi Baoguang Vacuum Electric Device that we have uncovered.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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