The Shanghai Baolong Automotive Corporation (SHSE:603197) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 32%. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 37% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, Shanghai Baolong Automotive may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 24.3x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 30x and even P/E's higher than 58x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Shanghai Baolong Automotive has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Shanghai Baolong Automotive.How Is Shanghai Baolong Automotive's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Shanghai Baolong Automotive's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any earnings per share growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Fortunately, a few good years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by 15% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eleven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 30% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 19% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it odd that Shanghai Baolong Automotive is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Final Word
Despite Shanghai Baolong Automotive's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Shanghai Baolong Automotive currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Shanghai Baolong Automotive (1 is significant!) that you need to take into consideration.
If you're unsure about the strength of Shanghai Baolong Automotive's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.