Tianjin Jinbin Development Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000897) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 28% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 7.4% isn't as attractive.
Although its price has surged higher, Tianjin Jinbin DevelopmentLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.3x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 30x and even P/E's above 58x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
For instance, Tianjin Jinbin DevelopmentLtd's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Tianjin Jinbin DevelopmentLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
Tianjin Jinbin DevelopmentLtd's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 46% decrease to the company's bottom line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 454% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 36% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Tianjin Jinbin DevelopmentLtd's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
The Final Word
Shares in Tianjin Jinbin DevelopmentLtd are going to need a lot more upward momentum to get the company's P/E out of its slump. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Tianjin Jinbin DevelopmentLtd revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Tianjin Jinbin DevelopmentLtd you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Tianjin Jinbin DevelopmentLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.