Despite an already strong run, Sungrow Power Supply Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300274) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 56% in the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Sungrow Power Supply may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20.4x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 30x and even P/E's higher than 58x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Recent times have been pleasing for Sungrow Power Supply as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
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In order to justify its P/E ratio, Sungrow Power Supply would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 43% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 342% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 11% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 19% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we can see why Sungrow Power Supply is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
Sungrow Power Supply's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Sungrow Power Supply maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Sungrow Power Supply (at least 1 which is significant), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Sungrow Power Supply. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.