Shenzhen Kingsun Science & Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300235) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the last month. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 3.2% over the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 23.9x, considering almost half the companies in China's Entertainment industry have P/S ratios below 5.6x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
What Does Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd, which is generally not a bad outcome. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance is strong enough to outperform the industry, which has inflated the P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 6.2% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 13% overall drop in revenue. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 28% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's alarming that Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's P/S
The strong share price surge has lead to Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's P/S soaring as well. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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