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Further Upside For Suzhou Oriental Semiconductor Company Limited (SHSE:688261) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 30% Bounce

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 30 19:07

Suzhou Oriental Semiconductor Company Limited (SHSE:688261) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 30% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 42% over that time.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Suzhou Oriental Semiconductor's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Semiconductor industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 5.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

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SHSE:688261 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 30th 2024

How Has Suzhou Oriental Semiconductor Performed Recently?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Suzhou Oriental Semiconductor's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Suzhou Oriental Semiconductor will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Suzhou Oriental Semiconductor?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Suzhou Oriental Semiconductor's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 27%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 28% overall rise in revenue. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 41% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 36%, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Suzhou Oriental Semiconductor's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Suzhou Oriental Semiconductor's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Suzhou Oriental Semiconductor currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Suzhou Oriental Semiconductor (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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