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There's Reason For Concern Over Shanghai Amarsoft Information & Technology Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300380) Massive 94% Price Jump

上海アマーソフト情報テクノロジー株式会社(SZSE:300380)の株価が驚異の94%上昇したため、懸念の理由があります。

Simply Wall St ·  09/30 19:05

The Shanghai Amarsoft Information & Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300380) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 94%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 30% in the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Software industry is similar at about 5.2x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

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SZSE:300380 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 30th 2024

What Does Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?

Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 11% gain to the company's revenues. Revenue has also lifted 27% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 26% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd's P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What We Can Learn From Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd's P/S?

Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Shanghai Amarsoft Information & TechnologyLtd that we have uncovered.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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