Sino Gas Holdings Group Limited (HKG:1759) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 54% share price jump in the last month. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 100% in the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 9x, you may consider Sino Gas Holdings Group as a stock to avoid entirely with its 44.3x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
For example, consider that Sino Gas Holdings Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Sino Gas Holdings Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Sino Gas Holdings Group's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Sino Gas Holdings Group's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 63%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 68% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 22% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that Sino Gas Holdings Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Sino Gas Holdings Group's P/E?
The strong share price surge has got Sino Gas Holdings Group's P/E rushing to great heights as well. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Sino Gas Holdings Group revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
It is also worth noting that we have found 6 warning signs for Sino Gas Holdings Group (3 are potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Sino Gas Holdings Group. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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