Shenzhen Crastal Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300824) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 25% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 11% over that time.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 29x, you may consider Shenzhen Crastal TechnologyLtd as a stock to potentially avoid with its 44.4x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Shenzhen Crastal TechnologyLtd has been doing quite well of late. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Shenzhen Crastal TechnologyLtd.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Shenzhen Crastal TechnologyLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 5.9%. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with EPS shrinking 38% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 19% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be similar to the 19% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's curious that Shenzhen Crastal TechnologyLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Shenzhen Crastal TechnologyLtd shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Shenzhen Crastal TechnologyLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Crastal TechnologyLtd that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Shenzhen Crastal TechnologyLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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