The Longmaster Information & Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300288) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 30%. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 6.1% over the last year.
After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Healthcare Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 5.8x, you may consider Longmaster Information & Technology as a stock not worth researching with its 11.9x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
What Does Longmaster Information & Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, Longmaster Information & Technology's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Longmaster Information & Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Longmaster Information & Technology would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 5.9%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 5.6% overall rise in revenue. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 160% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Longmaster Information & Technology's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Final Word
Longmaster Information & Technology's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of Longmaster Information & Technology revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Longmaster Information & Technology you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Longmaster Information & Technology's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.