Synthesis Electronic Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300479) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 35% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 11% over that time.
Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Synthesis Electronic TechnologyLtd is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 11x, considering almost half the companies in China's Electronic industry have P/S ratios below 3.6x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
What Does Synthesis Electronic TechnologyLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that Synthesis Electronic TechnologyLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Synthesis Electronic TechnologyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Synthesis Electronic TechnologyLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Synthesis Electronic TechnologyLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.0%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 17% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Synthesis Electronic TechnologyLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
Synthesis Electronic TechnologyLtd's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Synthesis Electronic TechnologyLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Synthesis Electronic TechnologyLtd that you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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