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Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688196) Soars 28% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 1, 2024 07:31

Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688196) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 28% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 47% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Oil and Gas industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.3x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

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SHSE:688196 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 30th 2024

What Does Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times haven't been great for Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy as its revenue has been falling quicker than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company's revenue trend will eventually fall in line with most others in the industry. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping it doesn't keep underperforming if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 26%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 55% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the only analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 24% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 5.4% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy's P/S?

Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy (2 don't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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