Jinfa Labi Maternity & Baby Articles Co., Ltd (SZSE:002762) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 15% over that time.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's Luxury industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.5x, you may consider Jinfa Labi Maternity & Baby Articles as a stock to avoid entirely with its 14.1x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
SZSE:002762 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 30th 2024
What Does Jinfa Labi Maternity & Baby Articles' Recent Performance Look Like?
For instance, Jinfa Labi Maternity & Baby Articles' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Jinfa Labi Maternity & Baby Articles will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Jinfa Labi Maternity & Baby Articles?
Jinfa Labi Maternity & Baby Articles' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 21%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 45% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 14% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Jinfa Labi Maternity & Baby Articles' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Jinfa Labi Maternity & Baby Articles' P/S
The strong share price surge has lead to Jinfa Labi Maternity & Baby Articles' P/S soaring as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Jinfa Labi Maternity & Baby Articles revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Jinfa Labi Maternity & Baby Articles has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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