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Is Seres GroupLtd (SHSE:601127) A Risky Investment?

Is Seres GroupLtd (SHSE:601127) A Risky Investment?

Seres GroupLtd (SHSE:601127)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  09/30 19:55

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Seres Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:601127) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

當David Iben說'波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失'時,他表達得很好。因此,聰明的資金知道,債務(通常與破產有關)是評估公司風險程度時的一個非常重要因素。我們可以看到,思瑞群(SHSE:601127)的確在業務中使用債務。但這筆債務是否會讓股東擔憂呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務可以爲企業提供幫助,直到企業無法通過新資本或自由現金流償還債務爲止。最終,如果企業無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能一文不值。雖然這種情況不太常見,但我們經常看到負債公司因爲債權人迫使它們以被壓價的價格籌集資金而不斷稀釋股東利益。然而,通過稀釋來替代,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的一種非常好的工具。在考慮一家公司的債務水平時,首要步驟是綜合考慮其現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does Seres GroupLtd Carry?

思瑞群承擔了多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Seres GroupLtd had CN¥2.13b of debt in June 2024, down from CN¥7.00b, one year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥46.9b in cash, leading to a CN¥44.8b net cash position.

您可以點擊下方的圖表查看歷史數據,但顯示思瑞群在2024年6月的債務爲21.3億人民幣,低於去年同期的70億人民幣。但另一方面,它也有469億人民幣的現金,形成448億人民幣的淨現金頭寸。

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SHSE:601127 Debt to Equity History September 30th 2024
SHSE:601127 債務與股本歷史數據 2024年9月30日

A Look At Seres GroupLtd's Liabilities

了解Seres GroupLtd的負債情況

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Seres GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥68.5b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥4.86b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥46.9b and CN¥4.68b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥21.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

仔細查看最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到Seres GroupLtd在12個月內到期的負債高達685億元人民幣,而超過這一期限的負債爲48.6億元人民幣。另一方面,它手頭有469億元人民幣的現金和46.8億元人民幣的應收賬款,其中有一部分在一年內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和高出218億元人民幣。

Since publicly traded Seres GroupLtd shares are worth a very impressive total of CN¥136.2b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Seres GroupLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Seres GroupLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

由於上市的Seres GroupLtd股票總值高達1362億元人民幣,這一負債水平似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。但是有足夠的負債使我們強烈建議股東繼續關注資產負債表的變化。儘管其負債可觀,Seres GroupLtd擁有淨現金,因此可以說其沒有沉重的債務負擔!毫無疑問,我們最了解債務是通過資產負債表。但最終業務未來的盈利能力將決定Seres GroupLtd能否隨着時間加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,或許會對這份關於分析師盈利預測的免費報告感興趣。

Over 12 months, Seres GroupLtd reported revenue of CN¥90b, which is a gain of 175%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. So there's no doubt that shareholders are cheering for growth

在過去12個月中,Seres GroupLtd報告了900億元人民幣的營業收入,增長了175%,儘管其未報告任何利息和稅前盈利。因此毫無疑問,股東們都在爲增長歡呼雀躍

So How Risky Is Seres GroupLtd?

那麼,Seres Group Ltd有多大風險?雖然過去12個月中Seres Group Ltd的利息和稅前收益爲負,但它的自由現金流爲52億元人民幣,這說明我們認爲該股票在近期並不是太有風險。其中一個積極因素是Seres Group Ltd正在加速營收增長,這使得它更容易提出增長故事並籌集資本,如果需要的話。但我們仍然認爲它有些風險。當我們考慮一個風險較高的公司時,我們喜歡檢查他們的利潤(或損失)趨勢如何發展。今天,我們向讀者提供這張交互圖表,展示Seres Group Ltd的利潤、營業收入和經營現金流在過去幾年中的變化情況。

Although Seres GroupLtd had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it made a statutory profit of CN¥519m. So taking that on face value, and considering the cash, we don't think its very risky in the near term. The good news for Seres GroupLtd shareholders is that its revenue growth is strong, making it easier to raise capital if need be. But that doesn't change our opinion that the stock is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Seres GroupLtd you should know about.

儘管Seres GroupLtd在過去12個月中出現了利息和稅前盈利(EBIT)虧損,但其總體利潤爲51900萬人民幣。因此,就這一數值而言,並考慮到現金,我們認爲在短期內並不太冒險。Seres GroupLtd股東的好消息是其營收增長強勁,這使其更容易籌集資金。但這並不改變我們認爲該股風險較高的觀點。毫無疑問,我們最了解債務是通過資產負債表。但並不是所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中-遠非如此。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有這些風險,我們已經發現了SerGroupLtd的2個警告信號,您應該知道。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

說到底,有時候更容易集中精力關注根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費訪問零淨債務增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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