Zotye Automobile Co., Ltd (SZSE:000980) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 30% share price jump in the last month. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 40% in the last twelve months.
After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Zotye Automobile is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 16.3x, considering almost half the companies in China's Auto industry have P/S ratios below 1.6x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Zotye Automobile's Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that Zotye Automobile's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Zotye Automobile, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Zotye Automobile's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Zotye Automobile's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 29%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 36% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 40% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Zotye Automobile's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Zotye Automobile's P/S
Zotye Automobile's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Zotye Automobile currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Zotye Automobile that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of Zotye Automobile's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.