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Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002049) Stock Rockets 31% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company

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Simply Wall St ·  09/30 20:01

Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002049) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 31% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 28% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics' P/E ratio of 28x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in China is also close to 30x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to revert back to market averages soon, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping it doesn't keep underperforming if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.

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SZSE:002049 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 1st 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics.

How Is Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics' Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 33%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 48% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 24% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 19% each year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's curious that Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics' P/E?

Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

Having said that, be aware Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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