Henan Ancai Hi-Tech Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600207) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 30% after a shaky period beforehand. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 5.9% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, Henan Ancai Hi-TechLtd may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Electronic industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 3.6x and even P/S higher than 7x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
How Henan Ancai Hi-TechLtd Has Been Performing
Henan Ancai Hi-TechLtd could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Henan Ancai Hi-TechLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Henan Ancai Hi-TechLtd would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 77% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its uninspiring short-term performance. So while the company has done a solid job in the past, it's somewhat concerning to see revenue growth decline as much as it has.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 4.0% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 26%.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Henan Ancai Hi-TechLtd's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
The Key Takeaway
Even after such a strong price move, Henan Ancai Hi-TechLtd's P/S still trails the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Henan Ancai Hi-TechLtd's P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, Henan Ancai Hi-TechLtd's poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Henan Ancai Hi-TechLtd you should know about.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.