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Optimistic Investors Push Walvax Biotechnology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300142) Shares Up 42% But Growth Is Lacking

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 1, 2024 08:19

Walvax Biotechnology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300142) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 42% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 37% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Walvax Biotechnology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Biotechs industry is similar at about 6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

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SZSE:300142 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 1st 2024

What Does Walvax Biotechnology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Walvax Biotechnology's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Walvax Biotechnology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Walvax Biotechnology?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Walvax Biotechnology's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 31% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 9.0% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 8.8% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 224% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that Walvax Biotechnology's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Walvax Biotechnology appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our look at the analysts forecasts of Walvax Biotechnology's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

Having said that, be aware Walvax Biotechnology is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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