The Jiangxi Huawu Brake Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300095) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 26%. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 20% over that time.
Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Jiangxi Huawu BrakeLtd's P/S ratio of 2.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Machinery industry in China is also close to 2.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
How Has Jiangxi Huawu BrakeLtd Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Jiangxi Huawu BrakeLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Jiangxi Huawu BrakeLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Jiangxi Huawu BrakeLtd?
Jiangxi Huawu BrakeLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 9.7% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 14% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 23% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Jiangxi Huawu BrakeLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Jiangxi Huawu BrakeLtd's P/S?
Jiangxi Huawu BrakeLtd appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our look at Jiangxi Huawu BrakeLtd revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Jiangxi Huawu BrakeLtd that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Jiangxi Huawu BrakeLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.