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Optimistic Investors Push Sinosteel Luonai Materials Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688119) Shares Up 25% But Growth Is Lacking

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 30 20:35

Sinosteel Luonai Materials Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688119) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 24% over that time.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Sinosteel Luonai Materials Technology is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.9x, considering almost half the companies in China's Basic Materials industry have P/S ratios below 1.2x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

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SHSE:688119 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 1st 2024

What Does Sinosteel Luonai Materials Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Sinosteel Luonai Materials Technology over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Sinosteel Luonai Materials Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Sinosteel Luonai Materials Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 15% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 12% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 7.6% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that Sinosteel Luonai Materials Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Sinosteel Luonai Materials Technology's P/S

Sinosteel Luonai Materials Technology shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Sinosteel Luonai Materials Technology revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Sinosteel Luonai Materials Technology.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Sinosteel Luonai Materials Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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