Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688186) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 40% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 38% in the last twelve months.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 29x, you may consider Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material as a stock to potentially avoid with its 41x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 49%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 78% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 639% during the coming year according to the sole analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 36%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Final Word
Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Zhangjiagang Guangda Special Material, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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