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Hua Ying Technology (Gruop) Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000536) 51% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 30 20:32

Despite an already strong run, Hua Ying Technology (Gruop) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000536) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 51% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 31% in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Hua Ying Technology (Gruop) is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 5.1x, considering almost half the companies in China's Electronic industry have P/S ratios below 3.6x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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SZSE:000536 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 1st 2024

How Has Hua Ying Technology (Gruop) Performed Recently?

Revenue has risen firmly for Hua Ying Technology (Gruop) recently, which is pleasing to see. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hua Ying Technology (Gruop) will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Hua Ying Technology (Gruop)'s to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 25% gain to the company's top line. Still, revenue has fallen 38% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Hua Ying Technology (Gruop)'s P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

The large bounce in Hua Ying Technology (Gruop)'s shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Hua Ying Technology (Gruop) currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Hua Ying Technology (Gruop) you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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