Yinchuan Xinhua Commercial (Group)'s (SHSE:600785) stock is up by a considerable 22% over the past week. Since the market usually pay for a company's long-term fundamentals, we decided to study the company's key performance indicators to see if they could be influencing the market. In this article, we decided to focus on Yinchuan Xinhua Commercial (Group)'s ROE.
ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.
How Is ROE Calculated?
The formula for ROE is:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Yinchuan Xinhua Commercial (Group) is:
4.9% = CN¥96m ÷ CN¥2.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.05 in profit.
What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
A Side By Side comparison of Yinchuan Xinhua Commercial (Group)'s Earnings Growth And 4.9% ROE
On the face of it, Yinchuan Xinhua Commercial (Group)'s ROE is not much to talk about. Although a closer study shows that the company's ROE is higher than the industry average of 4.0% which we definitely can't overlook. Still, Yinchuan Xinhua Commercial (Group)'s net income growth of 2.9% over the past five years was mediocre at best. Remember, the company's ROE is quite low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Therefore, the low growth in earnings could also be the result of this.
When you consider the fact that the industry earnings have shrunk at a rate of 12% in the same 5-year period, the company's net income growth is pretty remarkable.
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Yinchuan Xinhua Commercial (Group) fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.
Is Yinchuan Xinhua Commercial (Group) Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
A low three-year median payout ratio of 24% (implying that the company retains the remaining 76% of its income) suggests that Yinchuan Xinhua Commercial (Group) is retaining most of its profits. However, the low earnings growth number doesn't reflect this fact. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.
Moreover, Yinchuan Xinhua Commercial (Group) has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.
Conclusion
On the whole, we feel that Yinchuan Xinhua Commercial (Group)'s performance has been quite good. In particular, it's great to see that the company has seen significant growth in its earnings backed by a respectable ROE and a high reinvestment rate. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.