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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Shahe Industrial Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000014) 40% Share Price Surge

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 30 17:28

Shahe Industrial Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000014) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 40% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 7.5% over the last year.

After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's Real Estate industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.9x, you may consider Shahe Industrial as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4.5x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

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SZSE:000014 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 1st 2024

How Shahe Industrial Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Shahe Industrial over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shahe Industrial, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shahe Industrial?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Shahe Industrial's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 59% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 289% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 11% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in consideration, it's not hard to understand why Shahe Industrial's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Shahe Industrial's P/S?

Shares in Shahe Industrial have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Shahe Industrial revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its high P/S, given they look better than current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident revenue aren't under threat. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Shahe Industrial that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Shahe Industrial's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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