Shahe Industrial Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000014) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 40% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 7.5% over the last year.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's Real Estate industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.9x, you may consider Shahe Industrial as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4.5x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
How Shahe Industrial Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Shahe Industrial over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shahe Industrial, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shahe Industrial?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Shahe Industrial's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 59% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 289% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 11% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in consideration, it's not hard to understand why Shahe Industrial's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Shahe Industrial's P/S?
Shares in Shahe Industrial have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Shahe Industrial revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its high P/S, given they look better than current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident revenue aren't under threat. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Shahe Industrial that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Shahe Industrial's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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