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Wuxi Chipown Micro-electronics Limited's (SHSE:688508) 25% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 30, 2024 17:29

Wuxi Chipown Micro-electronics limited (SHSE:688508) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 25% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Wuxi Chipown Micro-electronics' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Semiconductor industry is similar at about 5.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

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SHSE:688508 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 1st 2024

What Does Wuxi Chipown Micro-electronics' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Wuxi Chipown Micro-electronics' revenue growth of late has been pretty similar to most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to show no drastic signs of changing, justifying the P/S being at current levels. If this is the case, then at least existing shareholders won't be losing sleep over the current share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Wuxi Chipown Micro-electronics will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Wuxi Chipown Micro-electronics' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 17% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 42% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 25% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 36% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it interesting that Wuxi Chipown Micro-electronics is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What Does Wuxi Chipown Micro-electronics' P/S Mean For Investors?

Wuxi Chipown Micro-electronics' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Given that Wuxi Chipown Micro-electronics' revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Wuxi Chipown Micro-electronics that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Wuxi Chipown Micro-electronics' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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