Shanghai Film Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601595) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 39% after a shaky period beforehand. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 16% is also fairly reasonable.
After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Shanghai Film is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 14.1x, considering almost half the companies in China's Entertainment industry have P/S ratios below 5.6x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
How Shanghai Film Has Been Performing
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Shanghai Film has been doing relatively well. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Shanghai Film's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
Shanghai Film's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 39% last year. Revenue has also lifted 25% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 34% during the coming year according to the five analysts following the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 28%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Shanghai Film's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On Shanghai Film's P/S
Shares in Shanghai Film have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Shanghai Film maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Entertainment industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Shanghai Film that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of Shanghai Film's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.