Those holding Zhejiang Juhua Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600160) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 36% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 46%.
Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 29x, you may consider Zhejiang Juhua as a stock to avoid entirely with its 46.7x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Zhejiang Juhua has been very sluggish. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Zhejiang Juhua.
How Is Zhejiang Juhua's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Zhejiang Juhua's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 32%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 497% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 45% per annum as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 19% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Zhejiang Juhua's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Zhejiang Juhua's P/E
Shares in Zhejiang Juhua have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Zhejiang Juhua's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Juhua you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Zhejiang Juhua's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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