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Revenues Not Telling The Story For Pengxin International Mining Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600490) After Shares Rise 51%

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 30 20:56

Pengxin International Mining Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600490) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 51% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 3.5% isn't as attractive.

Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Metals and Mining industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.3x, you may consider Pengxin International MiningLtd as a stock probably not worth researching with its 2.1x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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SHSE:600490 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 1st 2024

What Does Pengxin International MiningLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Pengxin International MiningLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Pengxin International MiningLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Pengxin International MiningLtd?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Pengxin International MiningLtd's to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 59%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 65% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 13% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Pengxin International MiningLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Pengxin International MiningLtd shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Pengxin International MiningLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Pengxin International MiningLtd (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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