If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. In light of that, when we looked at Cangzhou Dahua (SHSE:600230) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Cangzhou Dahua:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.023 = CN¥114m ÷ (CN¥6.2b - CN¥1.3b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
So, Cangzhou Dahua has an ROCE of 2.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Chemicals industry average of 5.5%.
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating Cangzhou Dahua's past further, check out this free graph covering Cangzhou Dahua's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
The Trend Of ROCE
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Cangzhou Dahua doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 9.1%, but since then they've fallen to 2.3%. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
While on the subject, we noticed that the ratio of current liabilities to total assets has risen to 21%, which has impacted the ROCE. If current liabilities hadn't increased as much as they did, the ROCE could actually be even lower. Keep an eye on this ratio, because the business could encounter some new risks if this metric gets too high.
Our Take On Cangzhou Dahua's ROCE
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Cangzhou Dahua's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Unsurprisingly, the stock has only gained 1.8% over the last five years, which potentially indicates that investors are accounting for this going forward. As a result, if you're hunting for a multi-bagger, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
Like most companies, Cangzhou Dahua does come with some risks, and we've found 2 warning signs that you should be aware of.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.