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What Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:688509) 30% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

正源测绘集团股份有限公司(上海证券交易所:688509)の株価が30%上昇していることが伝えていないこと

Simply Wall St ·  09/30 21:40

The Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688509) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 30%. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 22% in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies operating in China's Professional Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.9x, you may consider Zhengyuan Geomatics GroupLtd as a stock to potentially avoid with its 3.8x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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SHSE:688509 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 1st 2024

What Does Zhengyuan Geomatics GroupLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?

For instance, Zhengyuan Geomatics GroupLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zhengyuan Geomatics GroupLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Zhengyuan Geomatics GroupLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 34% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 57% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 32% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Zhengyuan Geomatics GroupLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Zhengyuan Geomatics GroupLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?

The large bounce in Zhengyuan Geomatics GroupLtd's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Zhengyuan Geomatics GroupLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Zhengyuan Geomatics GroupLtd that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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