With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x Shenyang Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000698) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Chemicals companies in China have P/S ratios greater than 2x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
What Does Shenyang Chemical Industry's Recent Performance Look Like?
We'd have to say that with no tangible growth over the last year, Shenyang Chemical Industry's revenue has been unimpressive. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to worsen, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Shenyang Chemical Industry will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shenyang Chemical Industry, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shenyang Chemical Industry would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. The lack of growth did nothing to help the company's aggregate three-year performance, which is an unsavory 53% drop in revenue. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 23% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we are not surprised that Shenyang Chemical Industry is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
The Key Takeaway
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Shenyang Chemical Industry revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Shenyang Chemical Industry, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shenyang Chemical Industry, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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