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SUFA Technology Industry CNNC (SZSE:000777) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

SUFA Technology Industry CNNC (SZSE:000777) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

中核科技產業CNNC(SZSE:000777)在債務使用上存在一定的風險
Simply Wall St ·  09/30 23:35

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that SUFA Technology Industry Co., Ltd., CNNC (SZSE:000777) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

伯克希爾哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李錄毫不隱瞞,他說'最大的投資風險不是價格波動,而是你是否會遭受資本永久損失。'因此,看起來聰明人都知道負債 - 通常涉及破產 - 是評估公司風險有多大的一個非常重要因素。我們注意到中核科技工業股份有限公司,CNNC(SZSE:000777)資產負債表上確實有債務。但股東們是否應該擔心它的債務使用呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務在幫助企業支持業務方面發揮作用,直到企業有問題償還其債務,與新資本或自由現金流一起。最壞的情況是,如果公司無法償還債權人,它可能會破產。然而,更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是,它不得不以低價募集新的股本資本,從而永久性地稀釋股東的權益。說到這裏,最常見的情況是企業合理地管理其債務,從而有效地利用其債務。當我們審查債務水平時,我們首先要考慮現金和債務水平。

How Much Debt Does SUFA Technology Industry CNNC Carry?

中核科技工業CNNC承擔了多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 SUFA Technology Industry CNNC had CN¥305.4m of debt, an increase on CN¥187.5m, over one year. However, it does have CN¥126.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥178.5m.

您可以點擊下方的圖表查看歷史數據,但截至2024年6月,中核科技工業CNNC的債務爲30540萬人民幣,比一年前的18750萬人民幣增加。然而,它確實有12680萬人民幣的現金抵消了這一增加,導致淨債務約爲17850萬人民幣。

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SZSE:000777 Debt to Equity History October 1st 2024
SZSE:000777自2024年10月1日債務與股本歷史記錄

How Healthy Is SUFA Technology Industry CNNC's Balance Sheet?

中核科技產業CNNC的資產負債表健康情況如何?

According to the last reported balance sheet, SUFA Technology Industry CNNC had liabilities of CN¥1.38b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥70.7m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥126.8m and CN¥1.34b worth of receivables due within a year. So its total liabilities are just about perfectly matched by its shorter-term, liquid assets.

根據最後披露的資產負債表顯示,中核科技產業CNNC在未來12個月內應付的負債爲13.8億人民幣,超過12個月到期的負債爲7070萬人民幣。 另一方面,其現金爲1.268億人民幣,應收賬款爲13.4億人民幣,其中一年內到期。 因此,其總負債幾乎正好與其短期、流動資產相匹配。

This state of affairs indicates that SUFA Technology Industry CNNC's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥6.17b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet.

這種情況表明中核科技產業CNNC的資產負債表看起來相當穩健,因爲其總負債幾乎等同於其流動資產。 因此,這家價值約61.7億人民幣的公司很不可能缺少現金,但仍值得密切關注資產負債表。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們通過查看淨債務與利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)之比以及計算其利息支出由收益前利息和稅(EBIT)覆蓋的程度來度量一家公司的債務負載相對於其收益能力的程度。此方法的優點在於我們同時考慮了債務的絕對量(以淨債務爲EBITDA)以及與該債務相關的實際利息支出(以其利息覆蓋倍數計算)。

SUFA Technology Industry CNNC's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.2 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 1k times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Shareholders should be aware that SUFA Technology Industry CNNC's EBIT was down 25% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine SUFA Technology Industry CNNC's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

中核科技產業CNNC的淨債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)比約爲2.2,表明只是適度使用債務。 其每0.1萬倍利潤的EBIT,意味着債務負擔輕如孔雀羽毛。 股東應意識到中核科技產業CNNC的EBIT去年下降了25%。 如果這種下降持續下去,那償還債務將比在素食者大會上賣鵝肝更困難。 毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表了解最多的是債務情況。 但未來收益,最終將決定中核科技產業CNNC維持健康資產負債表的能力。 因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有意思。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, SUFA Technology Industry CNNC burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

但是我們最終的考慮也很重要,因爲一家公司無法用紙面利潤支付債務;它需要現金。所以我們明顯需要看一下EBIt是否導致相應的自由現金流。在過去三年中,中核科技工業CNNC燒掉了大量現金。雖然投資者無疑期望這種情況會在適當的時候出現逆轉,但這顯然意味着它的債務使用更加風險。

Our View

我們的觀點

Neither SUFA Technology Industry CNNC's ability to grow its EBIT nor its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that SUFA Technology Industry CNNC is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for SUFA Technology Industry CNNC that you should be aware of before investing here.

中核科技工業CNNC既不具備增長EBIt的能力,也沒有讓我們對其將債務轉化爲自由現金流的信心。但其利息盈利覆蓋情況卻講述了一個全然不同的故事,並且顯示出一些韌性。當我們考慮所有討論的因素時,對我們來說,中核科技工業CNNC在使用債務方面存在一些風險。雖然這種債務可以提高回報,但我們認爲該公司現在已經有足夠的槓桿。當您分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要重點關注的領域。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表範圍的風險。例如,我們已經發現了關於中核科技工業CNNC的1個警示信號,您在此處投資之前應該注意。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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